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In the battle of teams with the same 8-3 records, Brown’s titans welcome the Nissan Stadium, as both teams are trying to consolidate their place in the crowded AFC playoffs.
The Titans are currently ranked as Seed No. 3, while the Browns are two slots down at No. 5.
It should be a fun, free-flowing game, as evidenced by the sum – the temperature should be around 49 degrees with winds of 4 mph and no forecast. Both teams allow a minimum of 25.9 points per game, which creates favorable opportunities for props for players who support the game.
This game will be a good test for the Browns, as they are trying to get to the playoffs for the first time since 2002.
They should have a chance to move the ball against the Titan team, which surprisingly ranks 28th in the defensive DVOA Football Outsiders despite their noble record. The Titans will have to be in the best possible condition to include Nick Chubb, who has an average of 6.3 yards per attempt.
Chubb has run for more than 114 yards in the last three games and more than 100 yards in five of the seven games he has played this season. Perhaps even more impressive is that Chubb leads the NFL with 10 strokes of 20 yards or more.
The Browns will want to keep receiving Chubba, while Baker Mayfield basically acts as the game manager. Mayfield has had less than 30 passes in each of his last six games, so there seems to be a concerted effort to limit his throws to avoid costly twists.
In 2019, Mayfield had an average of 33.4 passes per game with a landing to capture ratio of 22: 21. In 2020, he averaged 26.7 attempts and a 17: 7 to TD: INT ratio.
That means I expect Mayfield to have a decent game on Sunday, especially considering that the Titans’ defenses placed 27th in the DVOA and 28th in the league with 268.5 yards per game. They are also in 27th place with a Defensive Propulsion (DSR) success rate of 78%, which captures the percentage of descending series that end with either the first shot down or landing.
If you’ve watched the Titans play this season, you already know that they will almost never leave the field in third place. According to TeamRankings, they are the last to be dead when they allow opponents to transfer in third place with a rate of 52.6%. This can be perfectly tolerable for any defense, but especially against the Browns: They have the talent to collect their discs once they are in the red zone, and they convert 68.6% of their opportunities to land, seventh in the league.
Not bad for Mayfield and Co.
On the front of the injury, Browns will not be paralyzed due to the injury without launching the KhaDarel Hodge wide receiver. Taywan Taylor’s backup wide receiver is also out with a neck injury, along with incumbent corner operator Denzel Ward. Backup Center Nick Harris and backup defensive lineman Vincent Taylor are debatable after being limited participants this week.
The Titans will take on the Browns, which is 31st in the strength of the schedule on TeamRankings.com despite an 8-3 start. Just last week, the Browns managed to withstand a 27:25 victory over the low Jaguary. However, seven of the Browns’ eight victories came against teams losing records by week 13.
The Titans could be in line for a decent offensive day against the Browns’ defense, which placed 19th in the DVOA. Cleveland allows opponents four opportunities in the red zone per game, which could prove disastrous against the Tennessee team, which placed fifth with a rate of 72.73%, which turned these opportunities into a landing.
DVOA doesn’t make much of a difference between defending against Cleveland and defending against running. In defense, the Browns are in 23rd place in successfully completing DVOA and in 20th place in the DVOA run.
Their defense is below average in both areas, which could cause headaches against the Titan team, which placed third in the offensive DVOA. Tennessee fans will hope it takes place as one of the adventure novels they choose, because the Titans have several ways to score points.
And you can’t forget Ryan Tannehill, who is fifth in the league with a 76.7 mark in ESPN Total QBR and holds a 23: 4 to TD: INT ratio.
If that’s not enough, All-Pro running back Derrick Henry can also force enemy teams to pay his 4.9 yards for a transfer. Henry is also second in the NFL this season with eight legs of 20 yards or more.
The Titans are still without defender Adoree ‘Jackson, even though he was activated from the IR. Jackson still has to play lightning because he injured his knee during the season.
The end of Jeffery Simmons’ defense is also in the report of an injury due to a knee injury. After being a restricted training participant on Thursday, Simmons did not practice on Friday and is listed as controversial for Sunday.
In the offense, the starting close end of Jonna Smith will also be out due to a knee injury, while left guard Rodger Saffold III is listed as controversial (ankle), although he does not practice this week.
The Browns come into this game a bit thin on a wide receiver, which could put even more emphasis on their running the game.
With Chubb, who amassed 6.3 yards per transmission, I’m sure Cleveland can launch this Tennessee defense. Due to Chubb’s effectiveness, the Titans’ problems in the third victory could also return to bite. If the Browns are to have a chance of winning on Sunday, they will have to jump to Chubb’s back and check their hold time.
I like to over on Chubb’s rushing yards. I also like being a recorder whenever landing. I would play his rushing yards up to 87.
CHOICE: Nick Chubb Over 85.5 Rush Yards