Several senior members of the NDP federal committee warned NDP leader Jagmeth Singh in June that he would not be able to stay as party leader if he lost the election in Burnaby South next month, CBC News reported.
Two members of the new democracy who spoke to CBC News on an anonymous basis belonged to a small group of Senate members who met with Singh in the summer to tell him that losing the election on February 25 would put tremendous pressure on him to resign . They are among a group of nine NDP deputies who have told CBC News that he thinks Singh will have no choice but to resign if he does not have his place next month.
"We told him that we were going back in June when it was intended … that if you do it, it's all-in. It's not like you hoped you'd win this one, you have to," said one deputy for CBC News.
"It was understandable, it may happen that some revisionist history will be if it does not win."
Former NDP senior strategist agrees.
"If you can not win in the People's Republic of Burnaby, where can you win?" he said @KarlBelanger after CBC News learned several leading members of the federal NDP warned @theJagmeetSingh in June, he will not be able to stay as party leader if he loses his election #cdnpoli pic.twitter.com/UGTu0qPLGT
"It's obvious, if you lose any choice if you can not win in the popular Republic of Burnaby, where can you win?" said Karl Bélanger, former NDP national director and former chief secretary of former leader Tom Mulcair.
"I think that Mr. Singh knows, and I think he is trying to show everyone that he will win this place and then lead the party in the next election."
The June meeting was held in a lone commission room in the basement of Parliament House Hill Hill Center in a week when the Chamber of Deputies interrupted the summer break.
Sources reported to CBC News that the NDP leader agreed to meet that the run in the selection would be "all-in" hazard. Singh, according to sources, said he was convinced of the victory that he believed he would be campaigning in his element in the community.
"So if he fails, we have to do well in part of the country – British Columbia in general and Vancouver in particular – I do not know what their argument is that Singh remains as a leader," MP MP NDP said.
On Monday in an interview with CBC News Singh, he missed questions about what he could do if he lost his election and insisted he was in a good position to win.
"I'm not focused on myself, and I know if we work hard, we'll win here," he said. "We will win in Burnaby South because people need us."
Asked if he would remain as a leader if he lost in Burnaby South @theJagmeetSingh said, "I am convinced that we will win here … I am convinced that if we continue to work, we will win in Burnaby South because people need us …" #cdnpoli pic.twitter.com/KZJvP1wEVn
If Singh has privately agreed that he can not stay on if he fails to secure the seat of the committee next month, that would be contrary to his attitude towards the matter. In an interview with Rosemary Barton, which was broadcast on CBC National On January 20, Singh insisted he would remain a leader even if he lost the vote on 25 February.
"I will be the leader leading the new democratic party to the 2019 elections," Singh said. "I am convinced that we will be doing well in this ride. We are connecting with people, we are getting great support."
Overall, CBC and Radio-Canada contacted more than half of the 40 members of the NDP club. Not all members of the club contacted CBC News responded, but most of those who spoke to CBC claim they think Singh will win.
What happens if she loses?
Five refused to comment on what they called the "hypothetical" scenario. Two club members expressed full support for Singh. Some said they believed the decision to stay or go with him.
Club members are not the only ones who say Singh has to go if he does not get to Burnaby South. Some New Democrat veterans who are not members of the Caucasus agree – although at least one shows that the departure of Singh may be the result of a disorderly process.
"First of all, a group of older parties would advise that the time would come if they resisted, then they would vote – non-binding but humiliating," said a party strategist who asked not to be named. "Then the vote of the NDP Federal Council.
"When I choose the time to go, she should benefit from a beautiful outing." "To be pushed means it will end sadly." Given the paralyzed liberal campaign, I doubt it will happen.
The Liberals recently tapped Richard T. Lee, a former B.C. the legislator after her first candidacy, Karen Wang, resigned after a controversial campaign that called on Chinese people to vote for her as the "only" Chinese candidate.
CBC News, however, learned that the NDP is working on various contingency plans that could occur if Singh fails in Burnaby South.
Plans B, C and more
If, for example, Singh loses and immediately retreats as a leader, one of the options would be to immediately organize the leadership of the competition – much like what happened quickly in Ontario after Patrick Brown was forced to retreat as a progressive conservative leader for allegations of sexual abuse.
But the federal NDP is in a totally different place than last year when PC Ontario was when they participated in the vote of the leader, which ended with the selection of Doug Ford as a substitute for Brown.
District computers at that time led in polls; according to CBC polls, federal NDP support is only 14.2% at national level. The conservatives in Ontario gathered a giant warrior at the time Brown left and was easily able to pay for a convention. Federal NDP continues to struggle with fundraising.
Another option could be that the group chose a temporary leader. Two names were proposed in the NDP circles as possible leaders: B.C. MP Nathan Cullen and Quebec MP Guy Caron.
Any interim leader chosen by the case would have to be approved by the federal council before party leadership in the general election, followed by race leadership – the only way in which a permanent leader can be elected according to party rules.
Some members of the club mapped what they considered to be an elegant exit for Singh: to offer him the position of Deputy Leader and Lieutenant in Ontario and let him run in Brampton East, an area he represented provincially. Singh could then re-enter the party leadership, politically strengthened by gaining a seat in the Commons.
Belanger said that if Singh loses in Burnaby South and then tries to stay as party leader, the only way to remove it will be through leadership.
However, leadership takes place at party conventions and the NDP has no convention planned until the federal elections. In order to conduct a management review, a special convention will have to be called. It can only be called by the federal NDP council or at the request of most federal clubs.
One strategic NDP – who also asked not to be named – is skeptical about the possibility of a special convention: "Part of me has no faith in these people to bring a knife into the fight.
"These people have the problem to face the fact that this leader received an enormous vote of membership in the first poll (in the leadership race) and then this vote was strengthened in February 2018 with the enormous support of all the members of Ottawa who participated in an extremely important convention when has received 92.8% support. "
Enhancement for the worst
Former candidate for NDP MP and candidate for 2012 Peggy Nash said that those who work on the contingency plan to become effective if Singh loses in Burnaby South simply make it obvious.
"I like to play chess, and I always think it's a few steps ahead, and I always have back-up plans, and I think it's the right thing to do if you want emergency plans," Nash said.
BC. NDP MP Don Davies said he is convinced that Singh will have his place next month and that his presence in the Chamber of Deputies will strengthen his leadership. "I'm looking for it with many benefits, including our fundraising and our general election numbers," he said. "I think everything will be better as soon as Jagmeet's in the House.
"There was a lot of attention to what happens when he does not play. I think the only fair result when he wins is that it should rest the rest of what's going on."